I didn’t have any inside info on the above game. The line moving 1.5 points in my favor 30 min after I placed the bet was fortuitous, but I did not see it coming. I did think the line was too high. That didn’t mean other people were going to agree, especially since we don’t have much data on these teams. I would still bet Tarleton State at this number, there just isn’t as much value in my opinion.
I lean Kentucky +5.5 against Duke. I’m going to wait until later to make the bet. I don’t think people are going to bet against Duke enough to really move this line in favor of Kentucky.